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Friday 3 June 2016

Forex Trading is Halal or Haram In Islam?

I am traveling to Middle East and South –East Asia in the upcoming weeks where the population is largely Muslim and before my trip all my soon to be trainees  are asking “Forex is Halal or Haram?” It's my Personal opinion, I am sorry if anyone hurts with it.
I believe that " Selling currencies is usually done without the hand to hand exchange which makes them permissible according to sharee’ah."
Forex is Halal if you are not gambling and have your end goals clearly distinguished.
1- As a Forex trader you need to have a reason to take that action (sell or buy)
2- Not gamble on the trend direction but analyze the market
3- Not trade for the sake of excitement but trade for the potential income and to make a living
4- Not to approach it as a game but as a job
5- Have a mindset to win or to protect your equity rather than telling yourself “if I win I win, if not next time”
6- You learn from your losses and move on with the decision taken by yourself rather than blaming the market or blaming the situation.
It's a bit blurry so to say. 
But if you're honest to yourself, you know whether you're trading or gambling.
Join here :  Forex trading

Tuesday 2 February 2016

H4 chart of the USD/CAD Forex Pair , showing a nice falling wedge formation:

What is happening with the Loonie exchange rate? This is what we are going to tell you now! Below you will find the H4 chart of the USD/CAD Forex Pair, showing a nice falling wedge formation:



    

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As you see, in Friday the USD/CAD price broke the blue falling wedge formation in bullish direction. The breakout is visualized with the red circle on the image. Now the Loonie is probably facing a new bullish attitude.
Since we have a falling wedge chart pattern during a bearish trend, we expect an increase of the price equal to the size of the formation. This is shown with the black arrows on the image above.
The USD/CAD Forex exchange rate is currently situated around 1.4053 CAD for one USD. If the Price starts a movement after the falling wedge chart figure, we might see the price reaching  a weekly high around 1.4216.
Maybe it is time to start thinking long now?

Tuesday 5 January 2016

During the overlap with the London session we expect an important inflation

New York Session

During the overlap with the London session we expect an important inflation-related release from Germany and more PMI from the USA:
  1. German CPI (MoM) (Dec) | Germany
  2. Manufacturing PMI (Dec) | United States
  3. ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec) | United States
  4. ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec) | United States

‪#‎Crude_Oil‬ Tuesday :The week’s first oil-related macroeconomic release is:
‪#‎API‬ Weekly ‪#‎Crude_Oil_Stock‬
The American Petroleum Institute (API) reports inventory levels of US crude oil, gasoline and distillates stocks on a weekly basis. The figure shows how much oil and product is available in storage.The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock indicator gives an overview of US petroleum demand. Higher stock implies weaker demand or oversupply and it is bearish for crude prices, while lower stock implies higher demand and it is bullish for oil prices. While it is nearly impossible to predict the actual reading of the release, the event can be used for the timing component of a trading strategy for the instrument.
For More Detail pm Me.


Wednesday 16 December 2015

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Wednesday 9 December 2015

Crude oil price provided more bearish bias yesterday to record new bottom level that reached $36.62 level.


Comex Market Updates : Crude oil price provided more bearish bias yesterday to record new bottom level that reached $36.62 level.


Technical - Levels






Crude oil price provided more bearish bias yesterday to record new bottom level that reached $36.62 level. The fact that market broke down below there indicate that market are continue going to lower. We will keep our main bearish trend expectation, supported by the negative pressure that comes from EMA50. Momentum of MACD (moving average convergence divergence) still generating a sell signal. On its 4 hourly chart, Resistance is seen near the SMA20 at $39.00, while support is seen near the at $35 level. Fundamentally oil market oversupplied, reluctance by the OPEC nations to cut its oil output, rising inventories in the US, warmer than normal weather in the US will result in lower demand for crude and its variants. Hence, oil prices will trade lower in today’s session. 
                                           
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Wednesday 28 October 2015

GBPUSD is looking bearish on charts


Pivot Points


S3
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
R3
EUR/USD
1.0975
1.1002
1.1025
1.1052
1.1075
1.1102
1.1125
GBP/USD
1.5184
1.5232
1.5264
1.5312
1.5344
1.5392
1.5424
USD/JPY
119.06
119.60
120.03
120.57
121.00
121.54
121.97
USD/CHF
0.9739
0.9770
0.9815
0.9846
0.9891
0.9922
0.9967
AUD/USD
0.7071
0.7123
0.7158
0.7210
0.7245
0.7297
0.7332
EUR/GBP
0.7161
0.7175
0.7199
0.7213
0.7237
0.7251
0.7275
USD/CAD
1.3059
1.3104
1.3185
1.3230
1.3311
1.3356
1.3437
NZD/USD
0.6673
0.6713
0.6739
0.6779
0.6805
0.6845
0.6871




SUMMARY:
The secondary trend of GBPUSD is sideways on charts. In its 4 hourly chart, the pair is sustaining above its rising trend line and is likely to give break out at downside. It is not sustaining at higher levels and consolidating with strong negative bias to show downside movement in the market. Its 30 and 200 DMA are also supporting the upcoming bearish trend in the pair. It is having an important support at the level of 1.5280. If it breaks its support level and sustains below it then we can expect it to show further bearish movement in the pair.
 
INDICATORS:-
MACD is sustaining in selling territory supporting the upcoming bearish trend in the pair.
RSI is also sustaining near the selling territory indicating the upcoming bearish trend in the pair.

STRATEGY: GBPUSD is looking bearish on charts for next few trading session. One can go for sell on higher level strategy for this pair for intra day to mid term positions.

Monday 12 October 2015

Crude oil prices rose by around 9 percent last week.




Today's Chart: CRUDEOIL 



Overview :

Crude oil prices rose by around 9 percent  last week. After hitting the psychological level of $50 and remain stable above the EMA50. Support is seen near a  vertical down ward trend line and resistance level  at $49.03, while resistance is seen near a EMA200  level at $51.94. Expected trading range for today $49.03 support level and $51.94 resistance level. On an intra day basis, we expect the positive momentum to continue the short term bearish trend. On the upside resistance level at $50.11, if market break this resistance level upside breakout is expected with potential target of $51.54






R2
R1
S1
S2
Gold
1186
1171
1159
1149
SILVER
16.24
16.11
15.73
15.52
CRUDE OIL
53.17
51.14
47.45
45.67
COPPER
2.4693
2.4419
2.3863
2.3507
NATURAL GAS
2.614
2.564
2.492
2.453
PLATINUM
1003
996
976
965
PALLADIUM
742
721
700
683

Monday 5 October 2015

U.S. exports are on track to decline this year for the first time since the financial crisis.



  • U.S. exports are on track to decline this year for the first time since the financial crisis.
  • Saudi’s Aramco offers further discounts to Asia & the US
  • USD: US Non-manufacturing PMI expected to slip – TDS
  • EURUSD upside potential capped – Rabobank
  • UK's Osborne says there a lot of risks in world economy





Oil Falls 1% as Demand Doubts Rise -
Oil prices fell around 1 percent on Friday, heading for a weekly decline, as weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data weighed on the energy demand outlook and Hurricane Joaquin veered away from oil installations in the U.S. East Coast.

Gold Rises After NFP Stumble and Palladium Surge : 
Gold held the biggest advance in almost nine months after figures showed that U.S. payrolls rose less than expected and wages stagnated, reducing the possibility of an interest rate increase this year.


Trade Setups in USD-pairs around September US NFPs -
Talking Points: ST EURUSD triangle begins to break lower; $1.1085 critical support. USDJPY remains rangebound, although NFPs could change that. See the DailyFX economic calendar for Thursday, October 1, 2015.

Monday 28 September 2015

Five Points which can drive markets early this week



The market hasn't made any big moves so far but a few are beginning to brew

1. Yen strength
2. GBP strength
3. Oil weakness
4. Bonds bid
5. China worries, China stimulus


The market hasn't made any big moves so far but a few are beginning to brew:
1. Yen strength
This is all about negative sentiment in stocks. USD/JPY is down 27 pips. The Nikkei finished the morning session down 1.14%, Shanghai stocks are down 0.54% and S&P 500 futures are down 0.4%. Earlier I wrote about why stock markets could fall early this week.

2. GBP strength
The pound is keeping pace with the yen, up about 20 pips. But let's put that into perspective; since the high on September 18, cable has been in a 6 day, nearly 500 pips swoon. A 20 pip bounce doesn't even qualify as a dead cat bounce. I highlighted some levels earlier.

3. Oil weakness
All else being equal, sell oil. Crude is down about 1%. Rig count numbers on Friday were bullish but a small bounce was wiped out quickly. Earlier last week, inventory numbers were bullish but a bounce was wiped out within hours and oil finished way down. At some point this year, oil storage capacity will max out and it will be dumped onto the market at any price.

4. Bonds bid
Bonds are catching a small bid, pushing 10-year US yields down 2 bps in early trading. There was talk of a China bid but it's also part of the risk aversion theme.

5. China worries, China stimulus
Two stories out of China early this week. The first is a plunge in industrial profits (negative) but the second is about fresh stimulus (potentially very positive). The second story hasn't gotten much traction yet but I think it could.


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FOREX-Dollar edges lower ahead of this week's payrolls, China survey




  • USDJPY 120.32 with a general USD+ sentiment so far as Europe gets underway.
  • USD/JPY is poised for a big break USD/JPY finished last week strong with a 75 pip rally in the final six hours of trading.
  • European Factors to Watch-Futures fall, Spain in focus after Catalan result.
  • FOREX-Dollar edges lower ahead of this week's payrolls, China survey
  • EM ASIA FX-Baht, peso edge higher; ringgit slips
  • Oil prices fall on slowing global economic growth outlook
  • Japan leading index CI July final 105.0 vs 104.9 prev
  • Option expiries 10am NY cut today 28 Sept
  • Report: China expected to unveil new growth measures. More rate cuts coming
  • Chinese August industrial profits -8.8% y/y vs -2.9% prior
  • Eurostoxx 50 futures down 1.2% in early European trading
  • Softer sentiment as Europe gets underway
DAX futures -1.2%
CAC40 -1.0%
FTSE -0.7%
Bund futures up 28 at 155.71
Nikkei 225 closes down -1.32% at 17,645.11
  • A steady session after early dip
-235.40
open 17811.12
high 17886.49
low 17562.80
USDJPY 120.26
Australia's S&P/ASX200 closes up +1.24% at 5104.60
  • Switzerland opens investigation of precious metals manipulation
-those banks include UBS, Deutsche, Julius Baer, HSBC, Barclays, Morgan Stanley, Mitsui
suspicion relates to possible co-ordination of prices, namely bid/ask spreads
expects resolution in probe some time in 2016/2017
  • Mr Yawnfest speaking in Osaka and delivering the same old drivel price trend is improving
  1. will adjust policy if there are changes in price trend
  2. sees reaching 2% price target in around H1 2016
  3. further momentum needed to achieve 2% target
  4. BOJ easing is exerting intended effect
  5. rehang 2% target could come earlier or later depending on oil price

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Thursday 24 September 2015

Global stocks mostly lower. Investors await Yellen's speech for fresh clues on the Fed’s plan to raise rates


Stocks pared morning losses, but still ended moderately lower ahead of Yellen's speech:



U.S. stocks dropped but pared their steepest intraday declines, as worries over slowing global growth lingered.
Dow futures were briefly down more than 150 points, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures also traded lower.
Treasury yields held lower, with the 2-year yield at 0.68 percent and the 10-year yield at 2.10 percent.
The U.S. dollar traded lower against major world currencies, with the euro at $1.125 and the yen at 119.4 yen against the greenback.




Stocks remain stuck in low gear following a late-August selloff, and last week’s decision by the Federal Reserve to keep rates near zero affirmed investors’ fears that growth had hit a rough patch.
The S&P 500 lost 6.52, or 0.3%, to 1932.24, while the Nasdaq Composite shed 18.27, or 0.4%, to 4734.48.
Bond prices rose, sending the yield on the 10-year Treasury note falling to 2.125% from 2.144% Wednesday.
U.S. stocks have generated wide swings in recent sessions since a late-August slide sent major indexes into “correction” territory, which is marked by a decline of 10% or more from a recent peak.


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Wednesday 23 September 2015

AUD/USD continued its fall and hit the round number


AUD/USD continued its fall and hit the round number. It actually dipped below the 70 cent number, but the break is far from being confirmed.



Will it be carried lower by global gloom or can it recover?
This is basically an extension of the fall seen yesterday, that was triggered by the weak Chinese data. The independent Caixin manufacturing PMI for September deteriorated to a new low: 47 points, the lowest since the crisis.
In Australia we didn’t have much to trigger this. Yesterday’s CB Leading Index came out at +0.3% and the next piece of meaningful news comes only next week. Nevertheless, weakness in commodity prices and commodity currencies is affecting the Aussie.
The fall so far only reached 0.6988. A confirmation is still awaited. The next level on the downside is the round 0.69. A lot depends on the global mood.

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